We dropped to 40 after the
SLU win and our SOS went from 35 to 51. As long as we keep winning, this is the lowest we will drop. We have absorbed SLUs awe full record of 5-19 twice in our Rpi. That low winning percentage twice in the opponents winning percentage that counts 50% of our rpi just killed us.
We are sitting at 38 this am. For the most part, the A10 matches are a wash. Someone wins and someone washes itself out percentages-wise. The small exception is we want teams we play twice to win and those we play once to lose.
So it’s our OOC opponents that we need to be watching. I’ll pull together a list of what’s left and probability of wins for our past opponents and how it moves their win percentage and helps or hurts us.
The goal is to get an rpi in the low-30s in case we need an at-large bid. We have
Duquesne who’s winning percentage is about .500 right now and
LaSalle who’s winning percentage is about .650 now. Both play us and SLU, next weekend. So we need to win both those matches. What happens against SLU is a wash.
We will be the 2nd seed in the A10 Tourney. We want to play the third best overall record team because it helps our rpi. Right now that’s LaSalle again.