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  #1  
Old 06-16-2019, 03:52 PM
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Top 144 countdown by collegesportsmadness.com, 2019-2020 edition

https://www.collegesportsmadness.com...p-144-previews


#143 Saint Louis, #6 in the A10

https://www.collegesportsmadness.com/article/17581
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  #2  
Old 06-16-2019, 04:38 PM
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Well there is a kick in the teeth to St. Louis. Last year, St. Louis was ranked 53 and 1st in the Atlantic 10. It is also a kick in the teeth to the Atlantic 10 whose 6th best team last year was ranked 88 in Massachusetts.
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  #3  
Old 06-16-2019, 09:39 PM
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I’m betting we have 2 or 3 teams in the top 50 this year so no need for dentures just yet
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Old 06-16-2019, 11:15 PM
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These guys didn't even have UD in the top 144 last season.
Take with a big boulder of salt.
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Old 06-16-2019, 11:43 PM
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So here we go again!

I'm predicting the Flyers in here at about 40. (And 20 by the end of the season.)
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Old 06-17-2019, 09:07 AM
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Except for some of the top teams, these pre-season polls will be based largely on last year's results. The A10 sucked last year, so this 144 result is expected.
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Old 06-17-2019, 07:57 PM
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Originally Posted by tirebiter View Post
So here we go again!

I'm predicting the Flyers in here at about 40. (And 20 by the end of the season.)
I’ll take that since predicting closer to 50-55
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  #8  
Old 06-17-2019, 08:15 PM
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VCU 25
Davidson 32
Dayton 44
URI 70
Duquesne 100

Not my prediction. My prediction of their prediction.
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Old 06-17-2019, 09:50 PM
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Originally Posted by sheg View Post
VCU 25
Davidson 32
Dayton 44
URI 70
Duquesne 100

Not my prediction. My prediction of their prediction.
My exact prediction of your prediction of their prediction.
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  #10  
Old 06-21-2019, 04:32 PM
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I find it interesting that teams anticipated to win their conference are ranked in the 130 range. That means that some of these teams are being placed at the bottom of this list just so that a particular conference has, at least, one representative on this list. If teams below these teams are that bad; perhaps these teams would be better served for competition sake into a different division? I offer no disrespect to these teams but wouldn’t it be better if these teams were in division 2 instead of division 1? These leagues are NEC, SWAC and MEAC? Again, no disrespect but are there too many teams in division 1? What would happen to scheduling if the number of division 1 schools in basketball were reduced? Would Dayton get a better or worse non-conference schedule? Would games be more or less competitive?
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Old 06-21-2019, 06:38 PM
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I've felt for years that division 1 is too big. Cut 100 schools out, reduce the auto bids by 8, take the tournament field back to 64. Cap Division 1 at 256 schools. That would make late conference play and March Madness off-the-charts amazing.
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Old 06-21-2019, 07:24 PM
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Originally Posted by sheg View Post
I've felt for years that division 1 is too big. Cut 100 schools out, reduce the auto bids by 8, take the tournament field back to 64. Cap Division 1 at 256 schools. That would make late conference play and March Madness off-the-charts amazing.
Or, if staying with 256, have everyone play in NCAA tournament. For those who don’t want everyone to get a participation trophy, move the tournament to 128. That is literally only one additional round. The P5 would freak out because the middling teams would lose to “lower conference” teams.
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Old 06-22-2019, 03:31 AM
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Originally Posted by Jeff View Post
My exact prediction of your prediction of their prediction.
What is this prediction predicated on?
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  #14  
Old 06-22-2019, 08:15 AM
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Originally Posted by springborofan View Post
Or, if staying with 256, have everyone play in NCAA tournament. For those who don’t want everyone to get a participation trophy, move the tournament to 128. That is literally only one additional round. The P5 would freak out because the middling teams would lose to “lower conference” teams.
I once thought this was a good idea too, but fear we would have the same BS with selections we have now. 7-23 (4-16 in conference) Rutgers gets selected due to their "strength of schedule" and dramatic at home 53-52 win over 15-15 Indiana, while 20-10 (12-6) XYZ from the Atlantic 10 gets ignored. The Power 5 bias will only get worse, sadly.
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  #15  
Old 06-22-2019, 09:12 AM
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I’ve always wondered how the membership money to the NCAA breaks out. I’d like to know the Talley for P5 members vs all the other D1 schools. I’ve never seen this anywhere, so I’m not sure it’s public. I’m taking about the Total revenue generated from membership fees, not the individual school’s membership fee. My assumption is Michigan’s membership fee is more than Dayton’s. This is a middle-class vs the 1%ers question. Which group has the financial power and are they using it to level the playing field when decisions are being made? Or do the P5 schools just run everything even if they don’t really foot the bill?
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Old 06-22-2019, 11:03 AM
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Originally Posted by ClaytonFlyerFan View Post
I once thought this was a good idea too, but fear we would have the same BS with selections we have now. 7-23 (4-16 in conference) Rutgers gets selected due to their "strength of schedule" and dramatic at home 53-52 win over 15-15 Indiana, while 20-10 (12-6) XYZ from the Atlantic 10 gets ignored. The Power 5 bias will only get worse, sadly.
The only way to cure that would be to have the NCAAT structured like the OHSAA basketball tournaments, where everybody gets in, and seeding is done according to district/region. Granted, we’d see some ridiculously gerrymandered districts (since they’d need to find a way to separate Duke from UNC, Michigan from Michigan State, etc., to satisfy their P5 bias), but that would be as close as anything to an unbiased selection process. Include everyone.
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Old 06-24-2019, 09:34 AM
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Wright State #135, #2 in HL.


https://www.collegesportsmadness.com/article/17590
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Old 07-08-2019, 08:17 PM
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Potential Maui opponent Virginia Tech is #123. Sounds like a rebuilding year for them, should be a winnable game if it happens

https://www.collegesportsmadness.com/article/17604
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Old 07-28-2019, 12:10 PM
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Saint Bonaventure

Saint Bonaventure picked 2019-2020 Overall Rank of: #101
Conference Rank: #5 Atlantic 10
CBI/CIT
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Old 08-09-2019, 09:01 AM
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Charleston or I guess it’s called Charleston Southern University comes in at 90. I see Sam Miller’s name on the roster with 4.7 points as his average. He is a senior. Charleston is picked to win their conference, the CAA. We will see Sam Miller on November 16. How will the UD crowd react? I think the crowd will be respectful. Why shouldn’t they be respectful? The kid is young and made some mistakes!
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Old 08-09-2019, 09:11 AM
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Originally Posted by Buckleyma View Post
Charleston or I guess it’s called Charleston Southern University comes in at 90. I see Sam Miller’s name on the roster with 4.7 points as his average. He is a senior. Charleston is picked to win their conference, the CAA. We will see Sam Miller on November 16. How will the UD crowd react? I think the crowd will be respectful. Why shouldn’t they be respectful? The kid is young and made some mistakes!
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Sam plays for the College of Charleston. They are #90. We play Charleston Southern.

Last edited by longtimefan; 08-09-2019 at 09:26 AM..
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Old 08-09-2019, 10:12 AM
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I see Texas A&M at 102, I am down here in Aggieland and all the buzz surrounds Buzz. He has got a few key recruits, I see them surprising some people. Maybe not winning the SEC, but competing 17-18 wins.
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Old 08-09-2019, 12:50 PM
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With Bona at 101 it'll be 4 Top 100 teams in the A10. Dayton, VCU and Davidson would all be locks

I guess Rhode Island has to be the fourth team
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Old 08-09-2019, 01:49 PM
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Still waiting on Drake, Georgia, Colorado & St. Mary's

Also (MSU, Kansas, BYU & UCLA)
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Old 08-09-2019, 03:07 PM
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I think Bonas has an honest shot at an NCAA this year. They are still young but will be more experienced.
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Old 08-09-2019, 03:19 PM
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Originally Posted by Chris R View Post
I think Bonas has an honest shot at an NCAA this year. They are still young but will be more experienced.
The sophomore group of Lofton/Welch/Osunniyi is great core.
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Old 08-09-2019, 04:42 PM
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Originally Posted by OSU Flyer View Post
The sophomore group of Lofton/Welch/Osunniyi is great core.
And with a coach like Schmidt, they’re likely to overachieve.
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Old 08-09-2019, 09:27 PM
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Originally Posted by longtimefan View Post
Sam plays for the College of Charleston. They are #90. We play Charleston Southern.
Longtime fan: Oops! Thank you for the correction. I guess i’ve Never heard of Charleston Southern before. I’ll bet a lot of people get confused on that one. I follow college basketball pretty closely, but Charleston Southern has missed my radar somehow. I mean no disrespect to Charleston Southern. My assignment is to write Charleston Southern 50 times on the blackboard in order to put it to memory. Strangely, when I looked at their web site, they do not list the Dayton game on their schedule. They show other teams but not the Dayton game.
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Old 08-09-2019, 10:35 PM
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BBR had a funny fact that Charleston southern is located in northern Charleston
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Old 08-14-2019, 12:03 PM
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UC-Irvine comes in at 84 on this countdown list. If I am understanding this correctly, Emmanuel Tshimanga, Jordy Tshimanga’s brother is on this team. He is listed as a freshman center at 6’11” 275. UC Irvine is picked to win the Big West conference. Tell me, again, how Dayton recruiters missed on Obi’s brother and Jordy’s brother?
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Old 08-14-2019, 12:21 PM
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Originally Posted by Buckleyma View Post
UC-Irvine comes in at 84 on this countdown list. If I am understanding this correctly, Emmanuel Tshimanga, Jordy Tshimanga’s brother is on this team. He is listed as a freshman center at 6’11” 275. UC Irvine is picked to win the Big West conference. Tell me, again, how Dayton recruiters missed on Obi’s brother and Jordy’s brother?
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Not every kid wants to play with their brother. Not every recruit is looking for the same things in a school as their brother. It is pretty simple. You really do not hear about brothers playing at the same school at the same time that often outside of twins.
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Old 08-14-2019, 12:36 PM
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I remember when Chris Wright was recruited. Everyone said that many players will be interested in playing with Chris Wright and we should see an uptick in recruiting. Obviously, they were referring to Adrian Payne, a relative. That didn’t work.

The Dallas Mavericks used the same analogy. They signed Dirk Nowitski and said many players will want to play with him. That didn’t work as player after player signed somewhere else.
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Old 08-14-2019, 12:49 PM
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Originally Posted by Buckleyma View Post
UC-Irvine comes in at 84 on this countdown list. If I am understanding this correctly, Emmanuel Tshimanga, Jordy Tshimanga’s brother is on this team. He is listed as a freshman center at 6’11” 275. UC Irvine is picked to win the Big West conference. Tell me, again, how Dayton recruiters missed on Obi’s brother and Jordy’s brother?
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Old 08-14-2019, 01:07 PM
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In addition, who says that the brother is the equivalent of the player we signed?
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Old 08-14-2019, 01:29 PM
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My older brother went to X. I was not going there, period.
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Old 08-14-2019, 02:43 PM
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I can still recall a picture that appeared in the Flyer News when Kenny May signed with UD. Ken is seated at a table pretending to sign his LOI and big brother Don is standing at his shoulder, semi-smiling approvingly. Ken didn't have much choice. He grew up a few miles from campus and his mom worked in the cafeteria at KU.

I could identify with Ken: my older brother went to UD, too.
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Old 08-14-2019, 03:36 PM
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We had Emmanuel Tshimanga in for a visit at the same time as Jordy. I don't believe we offered, though I can't remember for sure. Just because it's a current player's brother doesn't mean we want them.
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Old 08-14-2019, 04:39 PM
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Originally Posted by UncleFester View Post
Also see: Paxson/Paxson
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And May's, Bockhorn's, Hatton's ?
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Old 08-14-2019, 11:14 PM
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Originally Posted by Buckleyma View Post
I remember when Chris Wright was recruited. Everyone said that many players will be interested in playing with Chris Wright and we should see an uptick in recruiting. Obviously, they were referring to Adrian Payne, a relative. That didn’t work.

The Dallas Mavericks used the same analogy. They signed Dirk Nowitski and said many players will want to play with him. That didn’t work as player after player signed somewhere else.
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Heard that had a lot to do with Staten Payne did not care much for Staten. Stems from playing on local AAU teams .Some of the same things that caused trouble at UD.
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Old 08-15-2019, 01:30 PM
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Originally Posted by Buckleyma View Post
UC-Irvine comes in at 84 on this countdown list. If I am understanding this correctly, Emmanuel Tshimanga, Jordy Tshimanga’s brother is on this team. He is listed as a freshman center at 6’11” 275. UC Irvine is picked to win the Big West conference. Tell me, again, how Dayton recruiters missed on Obi’s brother and Jordy’s brother?
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I think the staff decided to go with Sissoko over him

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Old 08-15-2019, 10:52 PM
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Originally Posted by jack72 View Post
My older brother went to X. I was not going there, period.
You’re a good, moral, and smart man.

Also, my wife and I both went to UD (which is where we met), as did both her sister and mine. So, of course, our daughter went to...SLU. She wanted to forge her own way. But at least she said Eggsavier was not even on her radar. She is a good, moral, and smart woman.
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Old 08-15-2019, 10:57 PM
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Originally Posted by San Diego Flyer View Post
And May's, Bockhorn's, Hatton's ?
...who played in the ‘60s, ‘50s, and ‘60s, respectively. Today, it’s a whole other story.
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Old 08-16-2019, 09:52 AM
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Temple in at 82 on this countdown list. This 144 list is predicting that Temple will finish 7th in their conference and go to the NIT. That means that 7 out of the 12 schools in the American Athletic conference will either go to the NCAA or the NIT. Can the Atlantic 10 perform this well? Dayton SHOULD be in a conference this good. Dayton fans deserve to be in a conference at this level.
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Old 08-16-2019, 02:11 PM
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Originally Posted by lhsgolf19 View Post
Still waiting on Drake, Georgia, Colorado & St. Mary's

Also (MSU, Kansas, BYU & UCLA)
UNI is projected #1 in the Valley at #86, so Drake isn't going to be on the list.
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Old 08-17-2019, 10:07 PM
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Oklahoma State comes in at 81 on this list. I see that they have Jonathon Laurent, a transfer from Massachusetts on this team. I was impressed with Laurent when he played Dayton. I see that he is a senior, now. This Oklahoma State team seems to have a lot of talent. Perhaps, they are under appreciated on this ranking?
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Old 08-20-2019, 02:25 AM
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Originally Posted by T-Bone 84 View Post
You’re a good, moral, and smart man.

Also, my wife and I both went to UD (which is where we met), as did both her sister and mine. So, of course, our daughter went to...SLU. She wanted to forge her own way. But at least she said Eggsavier was not even on her radar. She is a good, moral, and smart woman.
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My pops played for Duquesne...Got his masters degree from X...and was a lifelong UD season ticket holder...WUT? lol
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Old 08-20-2019, 12:11 PM
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Rhode Island in at 79, 4th in the A10

https://www.collegesportsmadness.com/article/17721
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Old 08-20-2019, 01:31 PM
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By logic we will be the next A10 team. Probably 45 to 55 and projected NIT.

Not my forecast. We will be first or second in the A10, top 30 and an NCAA bid.
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Old 08-20-2019, 02:29 PM
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Agree with your prediction of their prediction.

Also agree with your prediction.
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Old 08-20-2019, 08:14 PM
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Originally Posted by 312to937 View Post
Agree with your prediction of their prediction.

Also agree with your prediction.
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Can I agree with your prediction of his prediction of their prediction?
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Old 08-21-2019, 01:20 AM
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Originally Posted by TX Flyer View Post
Can I agree with your prediction of his prediction of their prediction?
Agreed.
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Old 08-21-2019, 10:05 AM
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Originally Posted by jack72 View Post
By logic we will be the next A10 team. Probably 45 to 55 and projected NIT.

Not my forecast. We will be first or second in the A10, top 30 and an NCAA bid.
I agree!

I know these preseason rankings are basically worthless but I see no way Davidson should be ahead of us given how close we were last year and with all we have coming in and losing only Josh, a big loss but 2nd half of season Josh was less a factor than the previous 3 half seasons where he was beast mode.

Too many of these ‘predictions’ are taking a wait and see attitude with the Flyers which kind of goes against the entire concept of a prediction. Buy or sell on what has been added but don't wait and see.
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Old 08-21-2019, 11:42 AM
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In the Rhode Island review, the content mentions Cyril Langevine. He is such a force. He is so strong. He should be in the movies playing a gladiator or a half-robot warrior or some such.
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Old 08-21-2019, 12:44 PM
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Originally Posted by Buckleyma View Post
In the Rhode Island review, the content mentions Cyril Langevine. He is such a force. He is so strong. He should be in the movies playing a gladiator or a half-robot warrior or some such.
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He was in both games against us.
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Old 08-21-2019, 04:26 PM
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Originally Posted by Buckleyma View Post
In the Rhode Island review, the content mentions Cyril Langevine. He is such a force. He is so strong. He should be in the movies playing a gladiator or a half-robot warrior or some such.
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This is why I was surprised by their lack of success last season. With him down low + Dowtin/Fats I thought that team was going to be really solid.
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Old 08-21-2019, 05:47 PM
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Originally Posted by hawkoooo View Post
This is why I was surprised by their lack of success last season. With him down low + Dowtin/Fats I thought that team was going to be really solid.
Dowtin and Fatts struggled mightily for a good part of the early and mid season. By the end of the year they were both playing much better and therefore so was the team. I thought they would have been better too but I think they could be right there with VCU, Davidson and the Flyers this year.
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Old 08-21-2019, 05:49 PM
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Cool I never bought in to the URI hype last year

Originally Posted by hawkoooo View Post
This is why I was surprised by their lack of success last season. With him down low + Dowtin/Fats I thought that team was going to be really solid.
You weren't the only one. In this poll they were afforded a glowing review last year mostly based on hope and sadly underperformed, losing 7 of 8 in one stretch. Other than a brief season ending stretch highlighted by close wins over UD and then VCU at Barkleys, and no one else of consequence, they really did not live up to their billing. Got pasted in the semi's at Barkley's by the Bonnies. When a team never lives up to it's unproven preseason hype one year, is it prudent to anoint the same bunch with stardom the next season? I dunno. Maybe they will be better, but then again just maybe these guys don't have the right chemistry together. One thing for sure, we are going to find out.

This poll missed sadly on at least 3 predictions last year that I can think of--URI, SMU, and UD(because we should have been in it).

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Old 08-21-2019, 07:26 PM
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Fatts of course was all conference at the Arena
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  #59  
Old 08-21-2019, 08:29 PM
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Depending on the night, Fatts was one of the best in the A10 or one of the worst.
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  #60  
Old 08-22-2019, 10:23 AM
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I believe URI was the worst 3 point % shooting team in the country last year...YIKES!!! I'm guessing they improve on that this year...as they say nowhere to go but up.
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Old 08-22-2019, 10:50 AM
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Originally Posted by jack72 View Post
Depending on the night, Fatts was one of the best in the A10 or one of the worst.
Which is a big reason URI went 9-9 in league play.
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  #62  
Old 08-22-2019, 12:52 PM
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CBB Central is also doing a countdown and UD made their top 40.


https://cbbcentral.com/2019/08/22/pr...top-100-40-21/
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  #63  
Old 08-22-2019, 02:30 PM
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Georgia is 48 and VCU 21 and Davidson 47 and RI 77 and IU 65.
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  #64  
Old 08-26-2019, 09:53 AM
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BG and USF check in at #72, #6 in the AAC, NIT projection. We need to get him on our schedule.


https://www.collegesportsmadness.com/article/17746:

In their second season under Brian Gregory, South Florida won 24 games, their most in a single season since 2011-12. That 2012 season was also the last time the Bulls made an appearance in the NCAA Tournament. The Bulls weren’t an NCAA Tournament team last year, but they did go on to win the CBI Tournament. This year, South Florida returns all but one rotation player from last season including all five starters. The arrow is pointing up for the Bulls and the next step is an NCAA Tournament appearance.
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  #65  
Old 08-26-2019, 12:06 PM
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Originally Posted by jack72 View Post
Georgia is 48 and VCU 21 and Davidson 47 and RI 77 and IU 65.
Wow...IU at 65 and we are in the top 40!!! Best wishes for Archie turning things around there. Having lived in Indiana before, I know how impatient the natives must be with the team.
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Old 08-27-2019, 10:54 PM
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UCLA #71.

Shaquille O'Neil's son is a freshman on the team.


https://www.collegesportsmadness.com/article/17749
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Old 09-01-2019, 09:43 AM
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BYU #66, #3 in the WCC.

https://www.collegesportsmadness.com/article/17762
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Old 09-03-2019, 01:15 PM
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Western Kentucky #64. #1 in CUSA.

This is the type of team that we should be targeting for home and home series if we are coming up short with getting additional good home and home series. Pretty consistently good, not too far away, likely willing to play us home and home. Q1 road game. Q2 home game.

Quadrant 1: Home 1-30; Neutral 1-50; Away 1-75.

Quadrant 2: Home 31-75; Neutral 51-100; Away 76-135.


https://www.collegesportsmadness.com/article/17768

Last edited by ud2; 09-03-2019 at 01:25 PM..
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  #69  
Old 09-03-2019, 03:45 PM
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This is probably addressed over and over elsewhere on the MB, but I'm still puzzled why New Mexico, Creighton, Western Kentucky, Eastern Kentucky, Houston, and a host of others where we have some history, won't schedule us. It's not like we embarrassed them. Now Pittsburgh I can understand after what we did to them. But we had a good series with Creighton and New Mexico. Frustrating.
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  #70  
Old 09-03-2019, 04:32 PM
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Originally Posted by ud2 View Post
Western Kentucky #64. #1 in CUSA.

This is the type of team that we should be targeting for home and home series if we are coming up short with getting additional good home and home series. Pretty consistently good, not too far away, likely willing to play us home and home. Q1 road game. Q2 home game.

Quadrant 1: Home 1-30; Neutral 1-50; Away 1-75.

Quadrant 2: Home 31-75; Neutral 51-100; Away 76-135.


https://www.collegesportsmadness.com/article/17768
If only the NCAA used the collegesportsmadness.com preseason rankings to determine quads.
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Old 09-03-2019, 09:21 PM
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Originally Posted by ud2 View Post
Western Kentucky #64. #1 in CUSA.

This is the type of team that we should be targeting for home and home series if we are coming up short with getting additional good home and home series. Pretty consistently good, not too far away, likely willing to play us home and home. Q1 road game. Q2 home game.

Quadrant 1: Home 1-30; Neutral 1-50; Away 1-75.

Quadrant 2: Home 31-75; Neutral 51-100; Away 76-135.


https://www.collegesportsmadness.com/article/17768
Originally Posted by San Diego Flyer View Post
This is probably addressed over and over elsewhere on the MB, but I'm still puzzled why New Mexico, Creighton, Western Kentucky, Eastern Kentucky, Houston, and a host of others where we have some history, won't schedule us. It's not like we embarrassed them. Now Pittsburgh I can understand after what we did to them. But we had a good series with Creighton and New Mexico. Frustrating.
The timing on the MWC challenge is fortuitous after the scheduling difficulties this year
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  #72  
Old 09-03-2019, 11:11 PM
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Originally Posted by San Diego Flyer View Post
This is probably addressed over and over elsewhere on the MB, but I'm still puzzled why New Mexico, Creighton, Western Kentucky, Eastern Kentucky, Houston, and a host of others where we have some history, won't schedule us. It's not like we embarrassed them. Now Pittsburgh I can understand after what we did to them. But we had a good series with Creighton and New Mexico. Frustrating.
Yeah, but we played Creighton before they were in the BE. Now that they’re in the BE, the cool kids probably won’t let them hang out with us nerds.
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  #73  
Old 09-03-2019, 11:20 PM
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Originally Posted by San Diego Flyer View Post
This is probably addressed over and over elsewhere on the MB, but I'm still puzzled why New Mexico, Creighton, Western Kentucky, Eastern Kentucky, Houston, and a host of others where we have some history, won't schedule us. It's not like we embarrassed them. Now Pittsburgh I can understand after what we did to them. But we had a good series with Creighton and New Mexico. Frustrating.
WKU and EKU are both out? Ugh. EKU is rarely good, that's no big loss. Creighton and Houston I can see, BE and AAC teams are going to be hard to land. We can get NM in the MWC challenge though.
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  #74  
Old 09-04-2019, 07:56 AM
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Originally Posted by Flyers98 View Post
If only the NCAA used the collegesportsmadness.com preseason rankings to determine quads.
I am not sure what your point is? Of course csm is only an educated guess, everybody is just guessing. ESPN and CBS are both picking WKU to win CUSA too, are those worthless guesses too?
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Old 09-04-2019, 11:43 AM
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Originally Posted by ud2 View Post
I am not sure what your point is? Of course csm is only an educated guess, everybody is just guessing. ESPN and CBS are both picking WKU to win CUSA too, are those worthless guesses too?
His point is that these rankings and the NET rankings used to determine quadrants are using different measurements. The best C-USA team was 101 in the NET rankings last year. WKU was 113. Which means a borderline Q2 on the road, nothing at home.

Not saying we shouldn't schedule them - but we would need to dial back the impact of those wins on our resume.
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  #76  
Old 09-04-2019, 01:17 PM
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Didn’t the current Creighton AD have some “lovely” things to say about Dayton in an interview? If they played us and got beat he would have egg all over his face.
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Old 09-04-2019, 02:04 PM
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Originally Posted by MNFats View Post
His point is that these rankings and the NET rankings used to determine quadrants are using different measurements. The best C-USA team was 101 in the NET rankings last year. WKU was 113. Which means a borderline Q2 on the road, nothing at home.

Not saying we shouldn't schedule them - but we would need to dial back the impact of those wins on our resume.
So what?

And the year before that the best cusa team, mtsu, was #33 in the rpi. That is practically a q1 home and road win.

I have said several times that we are going to have to start taking more chances with scheduling. It is our only option at this point.

Last edited by ud2; 09-04-2019 at 02:11 PM..
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Old 09-04-2019, 02:08 PM
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Originally Posted by ud2 View Post
So what?

And the year before that the best cusa team, wku, was #39 in the rpi.

I have said several times that we are going to have to start taking more chances with scheduling. It is our only option at this point.
Really, our ONLY option? In many peoples opinion our OOC SoS has been fine. They wish we had a couple better home games, but the SoS has been fine. When we don't make the NCAAT based on our OOC let me know. Last time I checked, this has not been what has kept us out.
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Old 09-04-2019, 02:20 PM
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Originally Posted by San Diego Flyer View Post
This is probably addressed over and over elsewhere on the MB, but I'm still puzzled why New Mexico, Creighton, Western Kentucky, Eastern Kentucky, Houston, and a host of others where we have some history, won't schedule us. It's not like we embarrassed them. Now Pittsburgh I can understand after what we did to them. But we had a good series with Creighton and New Mexico. Frustrating.
And how are Ohio U., Belmont, and Rhode Island able to get a home and home with WKU, but we can't? I am very skeptical that we can not get WKU to play us.
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Old 09-04-2019, 02:44 PM
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Originally Posted by ud2 View Post
And how are Ohio U., Belmont, and Rhode Island able to get a home and home with WKU, but we can't? I am very skeptical that we can not get WKU to play us.
You could have stopped that last sentence after word #4

The schedule is more than fine and sets us up with all the opportunity needed to make the dance with plenty of room to spare IF the actual results align with the talent.
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Old 09-04-2019, 02:48 PM
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Originally Posted by m21eagle45 View Post
Really, our ONLY option? In many peoples opinion our OOC SoS has been fine. They wish we had a couple better home games, but the SoS has been fine. When we don't make the NCAAT based on our OOC let me know. Last time I checked, this has not been what has kept us out.
While I generally agree that the OOC has been our strength. I believe last year it was the OOC record that kept us out of the dance. OOC schedule was fine, we just didn't win enough, unlike most years.

Last edited by UD62; 09-04-2019 at 04:39 PM..
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Old 09-04-2019, 03:35 PM
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Originally Posted by UD62 View Post
While I generally agree that the OOC has been our strength. UI believe last year it was the OOC record that kept us out of the dance. OOC schedule was fine, we just didn't win enough, unlike most years.
I agree, but that is on us for not winning, not the schedule.
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Old 09-05-2019, 11:04 AM
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Originally Posted by m21eagle45 View Post
Really, our ONLY option? In many peoples opinion our OOC SoS has been fine. They wish we had a couple better home games, but the SoS has been fine. When we don't make the NCAAT based on our OOC let me know. Last time I checked, this has not been what has kept us out.
And I am continually amazed at your lack of ambition. We will struggle to ever get past the round of 32 again if we keep employing this sort of scheduling model.

These type of scheduling decisions are very much oriented towards short-term revenue boosts/short-term thinking. This type of schedule is not at all good for the long-term welfare of the program.

We need to stop subjugating the long-term welfare of the program below short-term revenue goals.

If you look at the scheduling history of non-p5 programs like Gonzaga, Butler, Xavier, Temple, VCU, etc. when they were climbing the ladder, this just getting by with an 11 seed/barely squeaking into the NCAAT approach was not at all the approach that they took. They all employed a much more take-on-all-comers/play anybody anywhere type attitude. And that is something that we have never done.

Last edited by ud2; 09-05-2019 at 11:12 AM..
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Old 09-05-2019, 11:34 AM
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Originally Posted by ud2 View Post
And I am continually amazed at your lack of ambition. We will struggle to ever get past the round of 32 again if we keep employing this sort of scheduling model.

These type of scheduling decisions are very much oriented towards short-term revenue boosts/short-term thinking. This type of schedule is not at all good for the long-term welfare of the program.

We need to stop subjugating the long-term welfare of the program below short-term revenue goals.
I do not have lack of ambition. I am just realistic and realize the problems with scheduling that you continue to ignore. You refuse to acknowledge that there is more to scheduling a game than calling up a team and saying lets play. I have seen many times Team A will agree to a game, but hold off on signing paperwork while they still look for a game and then leave Team B high and dry when they find a better game. There is WAY more that goes into the negotiation for a game than you and every other fan do not think about.

As far as UD goes, Neil clearly stated that getting to a certain amount of wins AND having a balanced SoS is the key. All you are concerned about is your 15/15 split. The key for a team like Dayton is have a decently hard SoS (Top 30ish) and win 21-24 games. You can't schedule all quad 1 and quad 2 games and expect to hit that number. There are times during the schedule you need that easier game.

I totally disagree on this being short-term thinking and short-term revenue boosts. They have a system, it has been successful, and they have made changes as they have gone. They are playing more neutral site games than I can ever remember the last few years. They are paying teams to go to them to play (St. Mary's). Just because they are not doing your 15/15 split does not mean they are not trying new things to adapt and keep up.
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Old 09-05-2019, 12:58 PM
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Originally Posted by ud2 View Post
And how are Ohio U., Belmont, and Rhode Island able to get a home and home with WKU, but we can't? I am very skeptical that we can not get WKU to play us.
Simple. None of them play at UD Arena.

If you think the lack of Power 5 schools on our schedule is due to a lack of trying, then you haven't been paying attention.
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Old 09-05-2019, 09:40 PM
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Why does UD2 have to infect sooooo many threads with his relentless discussion of the schedule. Will you guys please quit arguing with him. Does a falling tree make noise if no one is listening?
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Old 09-05-2019, 10:37 PM
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Just got my Lindy's preview magazine today, and I see they pick Colorado as ranked # 16 - but the top 144 countdown today has Colorado at # 63.

Somebody is way off. I hope they are really a top 20 team when the Flyers beat them!
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Old 09-06-2019, 09:34 AM
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Originally Posted by m21eagle45 View Post
I do not have lack of ambition. I am just realistic and realize the problems with scheduling that you continue to ignore. You refuse to acknowledge that there is more to scheduling a game than calling up a team and saying lets play. I have seen many times Team A will agree to a game, but hold off on signing paperwork while they still look for a game and then leave Team B high and dry when they find a better game. There is WAY more that goes into the negotiation for a game than you and every other fan do not think about.

As far as UD goes, Neil clearly stated that getting to a certain amount of wins AND having a balanced SoS is the key. All you are concerned about is your 15/15 split. The key for a team like Dayton is have a decently hard SoS (Top 30ish) and win 21-24 games. You can't schedule all quad 1 and quad 2 games and expect to hit that number. There are times during the schedule you need that easier game.

I totally disagree on this being short-term thinking and short-term revenue boosts. They have a system, it has been successful, and they have made changes as they have gone. They are playing more neutral site games than I can ever remember the last few years. They are paying teams to go to them to play (St. Mary's). Just because they are not doing your 15/15 split does not mean they are not trying new things to adapt and keep up.
I remain very skeptical that we are ever going to get anywhere with our scheduling model.

Look at VCU last year: 23 rpi, 65 sos, kenpom ooc sos 67, 38 net...25-7...16-3 in A10...9-4 ooc...all they got was an 8 seed, and they didn't even make it out of the first round...they got hammered by 15 by UCF in the first round. They had 9 top 100 rpi ooc games and went 5-4. I suppose they could have done better there, maybe going 6-3 instead. 6-3 maybe bumps them up to a 7.

But still, 25 friggin wins, and all they get is an 8.


http://realtimerpi.com/rpi_214_Men.html
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Old 09-06-2019, 12:47 PM
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Originally Posted by ud2 View Post
I remain very skeptical that we are ever going to get anywhere with our scheduling model.

Look at VCU last year: 23 rpi, 65 sos, kenpom ooc sos 67, 38 net...25-7...16-3 in A10...9-4 ooc...all they got was an 8 seed, and they didn't even make it out of the first round...they got hammered by 15 by UCF in the first round. They had 9 top 100 rpi ooc games and went 5-4. I suppose they could have done better there, maybe going 6-3 instead. 6-3 maybe bumps them up to a 7.

But still, 25 friggin wins, and all they get is an 8.


http://realtimerpi.com/rpi_214_Men.html
Keep in mind, their seed was affected by the injury to Evans during the A10 tournament. There was a lot of uncertainty about his health.
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Old 09-08-2019, 10:59 AM
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Maui opponent Georgia checks in at #60.
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Old 09-16-2019, 09:29 AM
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https://www.collegesportsmadness.com/article/17798

Dayton Flyers #51, #3 in A10, NIT projection



Also, #62 Colorado, #60 Georgia
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Old 09-16-2019, 10:44 AM
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They only missed by 50 spots.
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  #93  
Old 09-16-2019, 11:43 AM
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Originally Posted by jack72 View Post
By logic we will be the next A10 team. Probably 45 to 55 and projected NIT.

Not my forecast. We will be first or second in the A10, top 30 and an NCAA bid.
Saw that coming, but my second sentence will also be true!
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Old 09-16-2019, 01:39 PM
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Originally Posted by ud2 View Post
https://www.collegesportsmadness.com/article/17798

Dayton Flyers #51, #3 in A10, NIT projection
Kind of a nitpic, but trying to understand why they don't list Obi as a bold type "returning player"? They say as much in their narrative.

Obi is the main reason we are going to prove their NIT projection incorrect.
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Old 09-16-2019, 01:48 PM
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They aren't the only ones. Saw another tournament bracket, we were not in. Davidson was a 7 seed and VCU a 9 seed.

I don't know how the season will play out. We've got a lot of new pieces, hopefully no injuries, etc, but I have high hopes/expectations for this year. This is as good a team top to bottom as we've had in ages, and we made the NCAA tournament with lesser talented teams.
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Old 09-16-2019, 04:24 PM
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Originally Posted by TXFlyerFan View Post
They aren't the only ones. Saw another tournament bracket, we were not in. Davidson was a 7 seed and VCU a 9 seed.

I don't know how the season will play out. We've got a lot of new pieces, hopefully no injuries, etc, but I have high hopes/expectations for this year. This is as good a team top to bottom as we've had in ages, and we made the NCAA tournament with lesser talented teams.
I get that it is the offseason and people need stuff to talk about but that is literally all this is. I'll remind everyone that this same publication was only off by about 80 spots on our Flyers last year. They rarely even get the rosters/year/positions right and we think they are doing some in depth analysis of what this year holds for the SWAC?

Same goes with the preseason tourney field projections. I feel like those are actually worse though as the poster has to create some talking point or controversy for the content to be interesting. There will be a team in the top 10 preseason who won't be in the top 25 at the end of the year. There will be a team that is unranked preseason in the top 10 at the end of the year. Its just the way it is.
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Old 09-16-2019, 06:29 PM
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Originally Posted by Flyers98 View Post
I get that it is the offseason and people need stuff to talk about but that is literally all this is. I'll remind everyone that this same publication was only off by about 80 spots on our Flyers last year. They rarely even get the rosters/year/positions right and we think they are doing some in depth analysis of what this year holds for the SWAC?

Same goes with the preseason tourney field projections. I feel like those are actually worse though as the poster has to create some talking point or controversy for the content to be interesting. There will be a team in the top 10 preseason who won't be in the top 25 at the end of the year. There will be a team that is unranked preseason in the top 10 at the end of the year. Its just the way it is.
So this is all just smoke and mirrors? OMG, I'm gonna wash the car again.
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Old 09-16-2019, 06:43 PM
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We are flat out going to destroy a lot of teams this year.

This is just fuel for the fire
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Old 09-16-2019, 07:15 PM
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Their ranking is #51. That doesn't make it into the Big Dance?
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Old 09-16-2019, 09:00 PM
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Originally Posted by LI2UD2PA View Post
Their ranking is #51. That doesn't make it into the Big Dance?
Not when the RPI, NET, Eye Test, blah, blah, blah cutoff is usually somewhere around 45. That’s OK. Just keeps the chips on the shoulders.
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